About Havilah Research

Connecting supply-chain constraints with company earnings

We focus on AI infrastructure and semiconductors, examining where demand is growing and where supply is difficult to expand. We assess how capacity, customer qualification and orders can translate into revenue and earnings, alongside the expectations reflected in share prices.

Interest rates, liquidity and financing conditions also shape our view of investment cycles. We track developments that may change a thesis, including delayed customer adoption and expanding supply.

Studying trading rules with data

Quantitative research uses market data to define decision rules and evaluate their results. We study price, volume and volatility, alongside trading-flow, derivatives and cross-asset data where suitable information is available.

Our focus is on following trends and responding when market conditions change. We examine entry, holding, reduction, exit, re-entry and position size, with the objective of improving compounded performance after trading costs.

Preparing to deliver strategy decisions as signals

We are preparing TQQQK on Whop at USD 49 per month for customers in Korea and overseas. Subscribers would receive the same strategy information through a one-way Telegram channel. Whop is the planned subscription platform for customers in Korea and overseas. The product is in preparation. This website does not accept paid subscription applications or payments. Payment and subscription terms and instructions for Telegram access will be finalized and provided before sales begin.

TQQQK · Target allocations for TQQQ and cash

TQQQK would provide target allocations based on confirmed daily data for the next eligible trading session. Validated common information would be posted automatically, while users decide on their own orders. Explore TQQQK

After launch, customers would review the information and place their own orders. Industry analysis and systematic strategies examine different subjects, with a shared emphasis on evidence and the conditions behind a decision.

Trading signal service guide · Monthly pricing

Research and evaluation criteria

Information and order timing

We distinguish when data became final or public from when an order could actually be placed. The evaluation standard is to use only information available at the decision point.

Returns and losses

We assess returns after trading costs alongside maximum drawdown and recovery time. We also examine how results change with the starting date, costs and execution conditions.

What changed the result

We separate the effect of changing a signal from the effect of changing position size or allocation. When combining information, we examine signal overlap and evaluate the additional returns and costs within the same pool of capital.

Rule selection and subsequent results

We distinguish the period used to discover rules from subsequent results. We examine dependence on particular periods or settings and interpret backtests and later observations within their respective conditions. Research candidates are kept separate from the rules used in a product.